Don't underestimate the role of gay marriage in the 2008 election. Unlike Massachusetts, you don't have to be a state resident to marry in California. This sets the stage for an emergent constitutional crisis involving Full Faith and Credit. Landslide victories predicted for the Democrats are largely contingent upon conservative ambivalence when it comes to McCain. Suddenly, the question for conservatives becomes, "Who/what do I dislike more: married gays in my state or McCain?" I predict numerous state elections will involve unconstitutional measures that prove incommensurable with Full Faith and Credit. The question now becomes: How much time do the Republicans have in each individual state to legally get this red herring on the ballot?
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